The Jordan, Knauff & Company (JKC) Valve Stock Index was up 0.1 percent during the last 12 months, much lower than the broader S&P 500 Index, which was up 14.5 percent. The JKC Pump Stock Index decreased 4.5 percent for the same period.1 The manufacturing sector expanded for the 17th consecutive month according to the Institute for Supply Management’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which increased 2.4 percent to 59 percent in October 2014. Of the 18 industries surveyed, 16 saw growth with the only contraction seen in the petroleum and coal products segment. New orders increased to 65.8 percent with the wood products segment reporting the only decrease for the month. The average PMI reading during the last 12 months was 55.8 percent with a low of 51.3 percent in January 2014. The U.S. Department of Commerce reported that the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP) solidly grew 3.5 percent in the third quarter of 2014, with most components showing positive growth. Durable goods consumption rose 7.2 percent because of strong auto sales. Personal consumption increased 1.8 percent. Federal government spending and investment increased 10 percent with national defense rising 16 percent. State and local government expenditures and investment grew 1.3 percent. During the second quarter, overall GDP increased 4.6 percent.
Figure 1. Stock indices from Nov. 1, 2013, to Oct. 31, 2014. Source: Capital IQ and JKC research. Local currency converted to USD using historical spot rates. The JKC Pump and Valve Stock Indices include a select list of publicly traded companies involved in the pump and valve industries weighted by market capitalization.
Figure 2. U.S. energy consumption and rig counts. Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration and Baker Hughes Inc.
Figure 3. U.S. PMI and manufacturing shipments. Source: Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Report on Business and U.S. Census Bureau